The poll results shown below are all, for consistency, YouGov polls. They are usually polls reported towards the end of the month.

Month Tory% Labour% Lib/Dem%
2009
Jan
45
32
14
2010
Jan
40
31
18
Feb
39
33
16
Mrch
38
31
19
Aprl
34
28
28
May
39
32
21
June
43
36
16
July
42
35
15
Aug
41
37
14
Spt
41
39
12
Oct
41
40
10
Nov
40
40
 
10
Dec
40
42
9
2011
       
Jan
40
42
8
Feb
36
44
10
Mrch
35
42
10
Aprl
36
42
10
May
38
42
10
Jne
38
42
9
July
35
44
10
Aug
39
40
 
10
Spt
38
41
 
9
Oct
36
39
8
Nov
37
42
 
9
Dec
39
42
 
9
2012
       
Jan
40
38
9
         
         


The poll this month is one amongst several showing a small Conservative lead. It is not clear what might have caused this move. Most likely it was, as suggested last month, in reaction to Cameron's clumsy foray into Europe. Some perhaps took it as a symbol of strong government.

Also this month there has been the efforts of Ed Balls and Ed Miliband to claim that they too would take tough action to reduce any remaining deficit. This came over as a rather clumsy way of reacting to Conservative criticisms, and it offended some unions as an undertaking that a Labour government would continue with rigid wage restraints.

This exchange of arguments on Conservative home subject territory was perhaps not very wise. At least they could have implied that some increase in income tax would relieve the present emphasis on cutting allowances which hurt the poorest.

So it has not been a good month for Labour. They would have done better to point out the wastefulness of Conservative policies - last year it was in the reason of £20,000 million - a lot of money.

Clegg has been busy trying to differentiate himself from the Tories - thus far with little apparent success.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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